måndag 11 juli 2011

Rysk tragedi..

Ett kryssningsfartyg på Volga-floden sjönk i går söndag - fruktansvärt hemskt.  Nedan från New York Times.
  (New York Times) -- MOSCOW — More than 100 people, including
many children, drowned when a riverboat filled with families
cruising the Volga River sank over the weekend, rescue officials
said on Monday, conceding little hope remained of finding
survivors.
     Tragically, minutes before the boat went down, the crew had
separated many of the children on board from their parents,
moving them into an interior play area, apparently part of the
normal routine of the cruise.
     But on this day it had terrifying consequences in what
authorities are calling the worst river transport disaster in
Russia in recent history and one of the most dismal losses of
life among children in this country since terrorists seized a
school in a southern region seven years ago.
     Authorities now say as many as 197 people were on board when
the boat sank on Sunday, including at least 59 children. In the
chaotic hours, about 80 people were rescued from the water, most
of them adults.
     Accounts provided to Russian media by survivors and rescue
officials painted a picture of tragedy that struck in a manner
that disproportionately saved adults on the decks, but left
little chance of escape for children in the enclosed play area.
     On Monday, the first divers to examine the wreck at the
bottom of the river said more than 100 bodies were inside. By
midday Monday, authorities said 12 bodies had been brought to the
surface.
     Russian authorities also suggested a cause of the accident.
The Investigative Committee, which is examining possible criminal
misconduct, said the 56-year-old riverboat had mechanical
troubles in one of two diesel engines. Survivors said the boat
was listing even at port, which Russian maritime experts said
that was possibly because a sewage tank was overfull.
     Authorities also revealed that more people than first
reported were on the boat, as the passenger manifest had been
filled out haphazardly.
     On the second day of the cruise on Sunday, after lunch, the
children were gathered in an indoor play room for afternoon games
with babysitters working for the tour company. The fate of the
babysitters is still unclear, though it is likely they also went
down with the ship a few minutes before 2 p.m., while many of the
parents survived.
     The Interfax news agency quoted one survivor saying at least
30 children were in the room. The parents went out on deck, or
relaxed in their cabins, survivors said.
     At this time, Captain Aleksandr Ostrovsky — whose own family
happened to be aboard that day — was attempting to turn the
tilting, underpowered boat in the increasingly choppy water of a
dammed portion of the Volga River that forms a broad lake, called
the Kuybyshev Reservoir.
     As he turned, he exposed the boat’s length to waves, life.ru
reported.
     One washed over the deck, sweeping some of the adults into
the water, and the boat tilted.
     “It just tipped to the right, flipped over, and sank,”
Nikolai Chernov, one of the survivors, told Russian television.
     “That was it,” he said. “There was no warning, nothing.”
     River cruises are a beloved summer pastime for Russians, who
sometimes book rides through the country’s vast inland waterways
that last for weeks. Sleeping cabins are common, as are
restaurants and onboard discos.
     The Volga River is crowded with boats in the summertime,
including oil tankers and barges. Last year, a riverboat collided
with a barge laden with sand north of Moscow. Then, all the
passengers were rescued.
     The boat that sank on Sunday, called the Bulgaria, was a
vintage 1955 riverboat with two decks, elegant brass fixtures and
a ballroom, according to archival pictures shown on NTV
television news.
     Large-scale accidents have sometimes led to anger at the
government, especially when the country’s somewhat cavalier
approach to safety has played a role. President Dmitri A.
Medvedev spoke with rescue officials on Sunday afternoon, state
television reported.
     Witnesses told Russian television that it was raining at the
time of the sinking, but not particularly stormy, making it
unclear whether a misjudgment about the weather was to blame.
Television images showed choppy water and an overcast sky.
     Another Volga River tour boat, the Arabella, which was the
first to arrive at the scene, found people clinging to debris and
life vests, and pulled about 80 survivors from the water.
     In the confusion that followed the episode, the numbers on
board and missing varied throughout the day, and were still
unclear Monday.
     An emergency situations ministry official told the RIA news
agency that of 59 children on board, 36 were listed as having the
same birthday, December 30, 1999 — more likely indicating
sloppiness in filing out the form than coincidence, and rendering
it difficult now to know how many children are still missing.
     Most of those who survived were on the decks, the Life.ru, a
news web site reported.
     Some were swept into the water, while others were able to
jump in.
     Some of those who were indoors escaped after harrowing
ordeals. Among the survivors picked up by the Arabella were two
dozens with lacerations and broken bones — caused by breaking the
windows on their cabins and squeezing through, as the boat filled
with water.
     Even out of the boat, the difficulties continued.
     Mr. Chernov, the passenger who described the sinking as
swift and without warning, said survivors spent an hour and a
half in the water before being picked up.
     During that time, two cargo barges passed without stopping,
he said, while another survivor told Russia Today television
station that passengers on one passing boat were taking cellphone
videos of the people in the water.
     Russian television later showed footage of survivors shaking
with grief, yelling or staring hollowly at the port in Kazan
where they were brought.
     In one, a woman yells “My granddaughter, she was only five
years old.”
     “People were basically buried alive as if in a metal
sarcophagus,” one survivor told Russian Today. “We managed to get
out through the windows. I was there with my ten-year-old
daughter. I could not rescue her, she swallowed too much water.
When I was pulled out, I realized my child was gone.”
     The name of the captain, Mr. Ostrovsky, was not among the
list of rescued, and neither were the names of his wife and
children whom he had brought along on the trip, Life.ru reported.

lördag 9 juli 2011

Ryssland av idag - en sorglig historia...

Nikolai Zlobin är en rysk-amerikansk statsvetare, journalist och forskare baserad i Washington DC, USA. För några dagar sedan kommenterade han läget i Ryssland av idag i Vedomosti, den viktigaste affärsdagstidningen i Ryssland, - intressant och sorgligt på samma gång, läs och begrunda...


"Vedomosti", July 4th, 2011
http://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article/263254/syadem_i_dogovorimsya#ixzz1RJveV2q0


Tandem: "Sit down and talk it over"
The results of the political season in Russia are sad to say the least. The country has stalled or even made backward progress in its struggle to become a proper modern state with a competitive economy. The authorities are imitating active reformation in separate spheres, which only increases the feeling of improvisational governing, and public debates end with guessing which of the two members of the tandem is going to run for president. Public is discussing neither the reasons for the ineffectiveness of the current model of the state, which is obvious even to the president and the prime minister, nor the details of the policy that the next president must pass in order to turn the situation around. According to "Levada-Center" polls the number of respondents having faith in Medvedev's policy decreased to 33%, while numbers of those trusting Putin went down from 50% to 41% since last year, with 52% of those surveyed being unsatisfied with the government altogether. Considering the lack of an alternative those are extremely poor results, especially since the number of Russian citizens who think that their country is not going the right way exceeds those who consider Russia to be on the right path.

The main result of the passing political season has become the creation of a super-corrupt pseudo-state capitalism that has basically turned into a system of personal gain for high-ranking officials and their friends. This system is controlled by non-public but extremely influential clans, without consent of which none of the important economic or political decisions in the country can be made. The administrative, financial and legislative powers as well as the major legal mechanisms are concentrated deep within those clans allowing them to adjust the whole system the way they require it on the fly. It's there where the major staffing decisions are made with all of this bringing back the practice of the 90's during which the laws were constantly bent to someone's specific requirements and circumstances. 

The public life has degraded severely, while a parallel, unofficial pseudo government has been formed. The decision-making processes have been almost entirely monopolized by the people who have never been legitimately granted such authority, a powerful administrative resource is solely dedicated to serving corruption and personal gain and systematized authority is replaced with subjective improvisation. As a result the officials are openly lobbying private projects, which in many cases acutely contradict national interests, while the clans are explicitly dividing the country between themselves.

Raiding is also returning in massive scale, although unlike the 90's the main role is now played by government officials, who purposefully discredit private companies in order to force the owners into selling their businesses at "discounted" rates to the friends of those officials. There are also individuals in power who charge entrepreneurs for "fixing" the problems that these individuals have created in the first place. Putin's way of introducing the main candidate for the presidential election of 2012 ("sit down and talk it over") has become a "one-size-fits-all" method of raiding for clans. Owners are offered to "sit down and talk it over" otherwise their venture gets taken over the hard way. In modern Russia the difference between the real price and the "talked over" price of the business in many cases determines the wealth of high-ranking officials. The country is left almost without a single venture capable of defending itself against the greed of those officials and their friends. The principles of free market and fair competition are being eroded from the degrading national economy, and that puts this economy beyond modernization.

Russian corruption is slowly eating away at Global Financial Structure as well. Not that long ago Russian officials have started to involve employees of foreign financial organizations into their schemes to influence not only the processes of capitalization of certain Russian companies, but also the conditions of entering the global market altogether. This puts Russia at risk of more International scandals, ones that would surpass in their scale even the scandals of the 90's, ones that have turned Russia into an exile in the Global Financial world for quite a long time. Foreign investment into the country shouldn't spark any hopes either - the scale of the investment is incredibly small for an economy of this size, and the main states that invest into Russia are Cyprus, Netherlands and Luxembourg - jurisdictions most popular among Russian entrepreneurs. Such investment can not be considered foreign and this money is not related to modern technologies in any way. But most importantly - significant part of these investments would be taken out of the country again by Russian officials and their friends from international financial organizations in private accounts and off the record. 

The degradation of the government and economy is followed by degradation of population and transformation of its priorities. A forecast recently published by American Census Bureau is predicting Russia to suffer a 21% decrease in population (down to 109 million) by the middle of the century, forcing it to move to the 17th place in the World while maintaining it's shamefully low life expectancy. According to Russian Public Opinion Research Center 22% of Russians are planning to immigrate, while among the youth this ratio is close to 40%. In the next 50 years up to 30% of country's population is predicted to consist of immigrants from the neighboring countries who would consider themselves mere temporary residents and who send more than 2% of Russian GDP back to their states already. 

Today Russia has turned into a tandem of weak state and powerful corrupt clans. Organized crime and oligarchs' audacity of the 90's have been replaced by organized gangs consisting of government officials and their oligarch "lieutenants" who have managed to take over the control over the state. Even the president has no choice but to admit that the system has become incredibly ineffective, hence his decision to call for drastic reforms right before the elections, which is quite rare in modern politics. Unfortunately such reformation is impossible due to absence of ideology and concept of the state, which the renewed, decentralized government should be built around. What the country needs today is practically a new state, transparent, dedicated to developing national business, appealing to its own people and the International Community,  free of clans and their influence, with systems of checks and balances in place and the rule of law. Ultimately - creation of such state should be the main goal of those who want to become real national leaders able to prove their worth with tangible actions, not mere words.

fredag 8 juli 2011

Rysk cool musik...

Älskar den här låten, 'Beautiful'... av ett ryskt lounge-band Triange Sun, klicka här. 
(har inte lärt mig lägga upp youtube klipp ännu... kommer)

Förresten så är videon inspelad på coola klubben Krysha där SWEA Moskva var den 3 Juni i år!

Trevlig helg!

Trevlig helg!

torsdag 7 juli 2011

Barnaktiviteter


Allt är väl inte helt tillämpbart, men man kan ju aldrig ha för många ideer när det gäller att sysselsätta sommarlovs-lediga barn och sig själv... Titta in på alla Martha Stewarts 60 ideer.
Ideer om vad man kan göra från snäckor.  Och ideer om vad man kan göra av glasspinnar.
Kid's summer crafts.

Socker och barn..

Bra tidning!
Läste just i Vi Föräldrar, vilket för övrigt är en utmärkt tidskrift för föräldrar till speciellt mindre barn, att gamla hederliga Oboy chokladdryck som jag till och med släpat till Moskva från Sverige innehåller ca dubblet så mycket socker som ett glas hemgjord chokladmjölk (dvs om man tar 1 tsk kakao och 2 teskedar socker) - ganska skrämmande eller hur?
Inte längre så bra..
Dessutom rekommenderar Livsmedelsverket att små barn SKA ÄTA MAX PER VECKA: 1/2 bulle, 2 kakor, 3/4 dl glass, 1/3 smågodis, 4 små rutor chokladkaka, 1/2 minipåse snacks, 1 liten glasspinne samt max 1 glas läsk eller saft. Det är 'andra bullar' än när jag var liten, inte för att man åt så mycket sött i och för sig, men man hade definitvt inte så seriösa rekommendationer - men bra tycker jag - fram för mindre socker för alla! Dessutom föder ju socker cancer-celler vilket är något man definitivt vill undvika. Punkt och slut.

Ny Moskva-beach i Gorky Park och 'Updates' blogg..

I självaste Gorky Park finns en ny 'beach', ja man kan inte bada i floden men väl solbada. Se mer här från en blogg om vad som händer i Moskva och St Petersburg: UPDATES

As part of the recently initiated revamp of Gorky Park, a new ‘beach’ has opened on the Moscow River’s Pushkinskaya Embankment near the park’s rear entrance.
Swimming is not sanctioned in this part of the Moscow River, but everything else is at guests’ disposal for a day of sunbathing and drinking cocktails.
Designed to resemble the form of sand dunes made from wood, the beach has deck chairs, showers, changing rooms, olive trees in pots and a cafe/bar called Olivkovy Plyazh, opened by the prolific Ginza Project team. Entrance to the beach is free, but use of a deck chair costs 600 roubles a day.

Teknik och Rysslands-bloggare...

Idag läste jag i tidningen om Karin Adelsköld ståuppkomiker och bloggare. Hon skriver sedan en tid till baka tillsammans med Johanna Öberg teknikbloggen 'Lilla Gumman' med rolig och lättförståelig information om teknik riktad till kvinnor. Inte för att jag menar att kvinnor är sämre än män på teknik, nej då!, men hon vänder sig i vilket fall som helst till oss tjejer som är intresserade. Bloggen verkar kul, och då och då är det ju roligt att lära sig nya saker.. Så här står det på blogg-sidan: 'Sveriges första tekniksajt för och av tjejer. Vi har försett våra läsare med prylgalna observationer och teknikfreakiga innovationer sedan februari 2008.'


Förresten så ser deras lilla symbol-gumma ut som en  en matrioshka, eller hur?!








Och så en påminnelse från igår om en ny rysk blogg som jag hittade: 'Från Ryssland med kärlek' som författas av Anna Gullstrand som sedan starten av 2011 bor i St Petersburg.


Håll tillgodo!

onsdag 6 juli 2011

Ta en tur till vackra St Petersburg..

Kanske en kort-resa till St Petersburg kan passa bra när vädret är halvbra i Sverige... Visumfritt om man reser med färjan Stockholm - St Petersburg i upp till 72 timmar... Se mer nedan från min lokaltidning, klicka på bilderna så blir de större.

Dessutom hittade jag på Elles hemisda en bloggare, Anna Gullstrand - som skriver om Ryssland, främst St Petersburg men även Moskva. http://www.franrysslandmedkarlek.se/

Hon har lagt in lite tips till St Pet, se här: http://www.franrysslandmedkarlek.se/pages/guide-till-st-petersburg
titta här också: http://elle.se/reseguide-ak-till-st-petersburg/















måndag 4 juli 2011

Astrids sällskapsspel MOSKVA

Astrid Sällström som till vardags arbetar på den Svenska skolan i Moskva har skapat ett sällskapsspel som heter 'Moskva - nerifrån och upp'.

Än så länge finns spelet bara på ryska men en engelsk version kommer så småningom.

Läs nedan från Astrids roliga blogg vad hon skriver om spelet. Det finns att köpa på några affärer se nedan.

Bilder på vårt spel, "Москва снизу-вверх", som blir hemkört till oss på måndag i 1000 exemplar! Sedan ska här krängas! Det kommer från och med nästa vecka att finnas till försäljning hos "Mosigra" på Taganskaja (ул. Народная, 8) och "Mir Kino" på Kitaj-Gorod (ул. Маросейка, 6-8). Förhandlingar pågår med ett flertal andra affärer i stan.
Genom vårt spel kan du testa dina Moskvakunskaper eller bara lära känna Rysslands huvudstad bättre! Spelet går ut på att man före medspelarna ska hitta och "besöka" tre objekt (finns 210 i spelet) i staden och återvända till sitt hotell. Spelpjäserna är knappar i olika färg och form, spelplanen är metrokartan. För att få förflytta sig måste man svara rätt på en fråga om Ryssland (finns 1225 i spelet). På varje objektkort finns ett unikt fotografi, två ledtrådar om var i staden det ligger, kort information om objektet och en karta som visar hur man tar sig dit från närmaste metrostation. Spelet går ut på att man före medspelarna ska "besöka" tre objekt i staden och återvända till sitt hotell. Spelpjäserna är knappar i olika färg och form, spelplanen är Moskvas metrokarta.

Framsidan av varje objektkort (i spelet finns 210 stycken!) har ett unikt fotografi och på baksidan finns två ledtrådar om var i staden det ligger, kort information om objektet och en karta som visar hur man tar sig dit från närmaste metrostation.
För att få förflytta sig på spelplanen måste man svara rätt på en fråga. I spelet ingår 1225 frågor om allt möjligt som rör Ryssland! Det är blandad svårighetsgrad, men lite logiskt tänkande och tur kan ta dig långt om minnet eller kunskaperna skulle tryta!
"Moskva nerifrån och upp" passar för såväl vuxna som barn från ca 12 år och uppåt. Är man en grupp med blandade åldrar rekommenderas att spela i lag! En utmärkt present till dig själv och andra!

Spelet finns redan till försäljning i den lilla affären med det stora utbudet "Mir Kino" på Morosejka (inte långt från metro Kitaj-gorod). Det kostar i den affären 1350 rubel, alltså ungefär vad notan går på efter en enkel middag ute. Men här får du för samma pengar rejält med föda för själ och intellekt!

Teaterklasser för barn i Moskva på engelska

Queen’s English Children’s Drama School has begun a new class for children under 7. This initiative has become possible since the arrival of our new teacher, Marie, from London. Queens English, is the only Children’s Drama Project in Moscow run by professional qualified actors from England and Sweden. In spite of our unique status, our prices remain at the same level as local schools with a drama dimension, who do not have qualified native actors to call upon. Perhaps this service will prove interesting to some of you. Cheers – please contact, Natasha at : queensenglishco@gmail.com for more details.

Navalny och Barry på den Svenska Ambassaden

I tisdags besökte den kände anti-korruptions-bloggaren och aspirerande presidentkandidaten Alexey Navalny affärsfrukosten på den svenska ambassaden tillsammans med journalisten och Pulitzerprice-vinnaren Ellen Barry - läs mer om detta nedan från ambassadens hemsida... Navalnys blog.
Med förträffliga Google translate så kan vem som helst läsa....personligen tycker jag ryska till engleska funkar bäst..


Första tisdagen varje månad samlas delar av svenska affärsmannakolonin runt olika teman till en frukost på ambassaden. En månghövdad publik, nära 70 personer, fick vid vårsäsongens sista möte lyssna till talare av mycket hög dignitet. Ellen Barry, journalist och nybliven Pulitzerpristagare och Alexey Navalny, regimkritiker och advokat delade på tiden på temat "Korruption i Ryssland". 



Ellen Barry fick Pulitzer-priset i första hand för sina artiklar om korruption inom rättsväsendet i Ryssland. Hon gjorde en målande beskrivning av ett rättsystem där det sällan finns något incitament för att rätta till ett fel som någon annan del i rättskedjan har begått och hur systemet blockerar individen utan att någon begår något fel. Barry beskrev några aktuella fall som hon följt i detalj och som uppenbarligen var korrupta men man kunde aldrig peka ut vem som var skyldig eller förklara varför det gått snett.

Navalny sökte uppmuntra de närvarande svenska företagsrepresentanterna att våga utmana korruptionen mer. De som har mer än en procent av aktiekapitalet i ett bolag kan ställa krav på utredning när man misstänker korruption. - Ge mig en fullmakt så hjälper jag er mot de stora börsnoterade bolagen, utmanade han. Som anstår en bloggare, med nära 45 tusen läsare, stod det att läsa om mötet på ambassaden på hans blogg bara någon timme efteråt. Han gjorde i inlägget ett nummer av att han träffat IKEA:s högste chef i Ryssland komma körandes själv (dvs ingen chaufför) till ambassaden i en  Skoda. Det vore en omöjlighet för en rysk chef för en av de största företagen i landet.


Läs mer om Ellen Barry och hennes bevakning av Ryssland som NYTs Moskva korrespondent här på New York Times hemsida.  
Och en länk till artikelserien 'Above the Law' av just henne om den ryska korruptionen.






USA-resa för den sparsamme

Ett bra tips för dig som ska resa till USA i sommar eller senare är att hyra rum/lägenhet istället för att ta in på dyra hotell (Manhattan tex).

Spana in den här sajten där ägare av lägenheter bjuder ut rum och lägenheter för semesterfirare i hela USA. New Yorks stat är ju som bekant New York och sedan klickar man bara på Manhattan så kommer man dit, välj sedan område där. Vacation Rentals by Owner
Det finns flera liknande sajter men det var denna jag kommer ihåg...

Dessutom som Swea kan du ju alltid använda SWEAs rumsförmedling som finns på många platser. Gå till swea.org och välj avdelning, sök sedan på respektive hemsida eller maila helt enklet ordförande för mer info. I New York är det Mona Johansson som står för rumsförmeldingen, se här: http://swea.org/rumsformedling___5688.aspx

På SWEA New Yorks hemsida hittar man också en lista över billiga hotell som kan vara bra att ha när man letar efter något ställe i New Yorks djungel...http://swea.org/billigahotelliny___2501.aspx

'Välkommen Sommar' på Starbucks

Yana, vår duktiga sponsoransvariga, hade ordnat en mycket trevlig kväll på Starbucks den 28:e Maj med en speciell utställning med bilder av fotografen Dmitri Guzhelya som rest världen över och fotat sommarbilder.




Dessutom fick vi fyra fina bilder från Visit Sweden som dessutom donerades till 'Sverigedagen' för utlottning i SWEA Lotteriet.







Frågesport om Sverige och kaffeavsamkning av Starbucks gick fint och trots värmen så hade vi en intressant kväll och Pia blev lycklig vinnare av en av Dmitri Guzhelyas spännande bilder.




Stort Tack Yana för allt fint arbete du lagt ner! Tack också till Stabucks och Visit Sweden! Se några av de intressanta fotona till vänster...









Donerad av Visit Sweden





söndag 3 juli 2011

Pia-kväll på Freshmania

Onsdagen den 6:e juni hade vi glamour-kväll med Pia på hennes favoritsalong 'Freshmania' nära GUM.

Frisören Vladimir och hans kollegor friserade, och behandlade utvalda av oss som blev lyckligare efter lite ompyssling. Nedan följer lite bilder.

Stort Tack till Pia som ordande med både sushi, vin och allt annat för denna mysiga salong-kväll!









































































































fredag 1 juli 2011

Clubkvällen på Strelka Bar och Krysha..

Vi kunde inte valt en bättre kväll än fredagen den 3:e juni för att uppleva några godbitar från Moskvas restaurang och kvällsutbud. Vädret var underbart och uppe på taket på Strelka Institute där Strelka Bars uteservering befinner sig njöt vi av den goda maten och solnedgången med Kristi Frälsarkaterdralen som bakgrund - rekommenderas varmt!

Vi tackade också av Ulla Z, Caroline B och Eva S som dessvärre lämnar vår styrelse pga av flytt vidare. Ulla hem till västkusten, Caroline till Sverige och eventuellt vidare och Eva S som efter sommaren flyttar vidare till spännande Ho Chi Min City i Vietnam. Många anslöt och vi blev totalt ett gäng på ca 15 personer.
Efter middagen fortsatte vi till Club Krysha, en nattklubb som precis som namnet säger befinner sig på taket av en gammal industribyggnad - inte helt lätt att hitta ingången men efter lite om och men var vi en mindre grupp på 5 personer som letade oss in och upp för trapporna till Krysha som har både inne och ute-utrymme i form av en terass med utsikt över nya Moskva City.



Det var definitivt bättre än jag väntade mig och publiken består av många expats och är relativt sofistikerad. Vissa av oss (inte jag och Gunvor som tog bilen hem vid 12-snåret) stannade ända till klockan fyra på natten - 'no names'.

Kul var det i alla fall och även detta ställe rekommenderas varmt av SWEA Moskva!


Tack till Caroline för fina bilder!









































































































Kryshas uteterass

Det ryska oljeberoendet...

Läs mer om detta här och hur ett högt oljepris hindrar Ryssland att utvecklas..

Russia has floated for most of.the past decade on a cushion
of steadily rising oil revenue,
earning about
$1,500bn from oil and gas exports
since 2000. Oil revenues alone fund
roughly 50 per cent of federal budget
revenues and made up 25 per cent of
gross domestic product in 2010.
While few would say that having
lots of money is a bad thing, it is
becoming clear to some of Russia’s
leaders that dependence on energy
exports is actually a hindrance to the
country making it into the top league
of the world’s developed nations.
On the eve of the St Petersburg economic
forum, designed to showcase
Russia’s westernmost aspect, the
country increasingly resembles a Middle
Eastern oil autocracy more than
the budding European democracy that
showed so much promise 20 years ago
after the fall of the Soviet Union.
Russia has no shortage of leaders
who have correctly identified the
problem. Alexei Kudrin, finance minister,
startled Russian economy
watchers with a sobering prediction
on April 21 that the era of oil-fuelled
growth may be ending, and not just
because oil prices may fall from their
highs earlier this year.
He said that a further increase in oil
prices might even “have a depressive
effect” on the Russian economy. A
rising oil price, he said, “used to act
as an economic stimulus. Now however,
this model is exhausted.”
The rise in oil prices over the past
decade “played a cruel joke on us”, he
said. To fight inflation, the central
bank was forced to strengthen the
rouble, which hurt trade in all sectors
but oil and gas, further concentrating
dependence on energy. “We paid for
growth with inflation,” he said.
The oil windfall has skewed the
economy, pushing up wages without
pushing up productivity, and leading
to an overvalued currency that has
stifled investment and ensured that
the other sectors of the economy
remain perpetually uncompetitive.
The new mood is a product of the
economic crisis. While Russia’s GDP
doubled in the 10 years before 2009,
that year its GDP fell 8 per cent. The
causes were not hard to find – energy
and commodity prices fell and foreign
credit lines dried up. The previously
impressive economic growth was
shown to be nothing more than the
ability to pump oil.
In 2009, President Dmitry Medvedev
published a manifesto called “Russia
Forward!” in the online newspaper
Gazeta.ru, calling his country’s
dependence on oil “primitive”.
But talking about the problem and
doing something about it are different
things. Two years after the financial
crisis started to abate, Russia remains
largely unreformed, despite Mr
Medvedev’s oft-repeated promises.
Increasing investment will be critical
to any attempts to modernise the
economy. Currently, investment as a
proportion of GDP is about 20 per
cent, while the average for emerging
markets is 30 to 40 per cent (China is
40 per cent). Instead, Russians spend
on consumption, and 70 per cent of
the federal budget is social spending.
Another reason for lack of domestic
investment is low savings rates,
which economists say are caused by
negative real interest rates. “Russians
save when the real interest rate is
positive,” says Natalia Novikova, senior
economist at Citibank Russia. She
pointed out that last year, when inflation
fell to below interest rates, saving
rates climbed sharply, but fell back
when inflation picked up.
This spring, the central bank began
to raise interest rates for the first
time in two years in an effort to fight
inflation, but economists are divided
on whether the action comes too late
and is too slow.
Meanwhile, on March 31, Mr
Medvedev outlined 10 reforms
designed to raise investment, both
domestic and foreign. He targeted the
cosy relationships between cabinet
ministers and state companies, forcing
ministers to step down from the
boards of state companies which they
have run like fiefdoms for years.
These included the powerful Igor
Sechin, deputy prime minister and
former chairman of Rosneft, the state
oil company.
But Mr Medvedev’s attempts to run
economic policy have been stymied by
competition between the president’s
administration and the cabinet, which
takes its orders from prime minister
Vladimir Putin, Mr Medvedev’s
former mentor.
Mr Putin stood down from the presidency
in 2008 at the end of his constitutional
limit of two terms, and all
but appointed Mr Medvedev as his
successor.
Mr Medvedev is still very much in
Mr Putin’s debt, say observers, and
the two are old friends going back 20
years. However, the difference in their
approaches to economics is obvious.
Mr Putin increased the state’s role in
the economy during his eight-year
tenure creating a model now called
“Kremlin Inc”. Mr Medvedev would
like to end this. “What worked 10
years ago may not work today. We
need to get used to a changing world,”
he told journalists in April.
Mr Medvedev detects differences
between his own approach and that of
the prime minister. Mr Putin believes
that modernisation is “a calm, gradual
movement”, Mr Medvedev said at
a May 18 press conference in Moscow.
“But I think that we have a chance
and enough forces to conduct that
modernisation faster.”
Where possible, the president has
been combining the struggle to reform
the economy with the fight to broaden
his own political power. Over the past
few months, this has had some noteworthy
successes, weakening rivals
such as Mr Sechin, and tackling some
of the blatant problems with economic
management.
In some ways, Mr Medvedev’s strategy
is reminiscent of Mikhail Gorbachev,
the Soviet leader who, faced
with an entrenched communist old
guard in the 1980s, identified himself
with inevitable economic and political
reforms, and used these as a tool to
empower himself politically against
the Politburo establishment.
The course of reforms is likely to
depend on who becomes president in
2012, and this is the most speculated
about question in Russian politics.
While many people simply assumed
Mr Putin would return to his old job
after Medvedev’s first term, Mr
Medvedev seems to be mounting a
convincing campaign for a second
term. Most observers, however,
believe the two men will work it out
among themselves who will stand.
This will avoid a prolonged power
struggle or even running against each
other in the election.
But commentators are split on
whether the mystery over who will
run is a purposeful tactic, designed to
prevent either being seen as a lame
duck, or simply that the two men
have not hammered out a deal yet.
Mr Medvedev used the first domestic
press conference of his three-year
old presidential term on May 18 to
spin yet more suspense about the
decision.
“There is not long left to wait,” he
said. “Such an announcement is close
at hand.”

TED...läsvärt

Har ni kollat in TED.com? - såg just ett program på TV om en studie av vissa befolkningsgrupper som har högst medellivslängd. Kanske har ni redan läst om dem många gånger, bergsbyn på Sardininen och byn Okinawa i Japan. Det tål dock att upprepas klicka här för att komma till föreläsningen.

På ted.com finns massor med intressanta studier etc. www.ted.com

Detta är TED:
TED is a nonprofit devoted to Ideas Worth Spreading. It started out (in 1984) as a conference bringing together people from three worlds: Technology, Entertainment, Design. Since then its scope has become ever broader. Along with two annual conferences -- the TED Conference in Long Beach and Palm Springs each spring, and the TEDGlobal conference in Edinburgh UK each summer -- TED includes the award-winning TEDTalks video site, the Open Translation Project and TED Conversations, the inspiring TED Fellows and TEDx programs, and the annual TED Prize.

onsdag 29 juni 2011

Scandinavia - 4th of July party


Tidskriften сноб

Masha Gessen
сноб, eller Snob är en populär intellektuell tidskrift i Ryssland. Jag träffade för ett tag sedan chefredaktören Masha Gessen som är en känd figur i Moskvas kulturliv. Hon berättade att tidskriften närmast liknar 'Vanity Fair' men utan den glamorösa aspekten. Snobs ryska hemsida: http://www.snob.ru/



Själv har jag inte ännu försökt mig på att läsa den på ryska, men en för mig och kanske för andra intressant nyhet framkom ut vårt samtal. Det finns en sajt som heter 'Wish I could read Snob' där en del artiklar översätts till engelska av någon vänlig själ.

Kanske värt att testa för dig som är intresserad av intellektuella Moskva. Här är den: http://wishicouldreadsnob.com/